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Current Win Probability
SPAL 51.6%
Draw 27.6%
Alessandria 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
28.2%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
19.3%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPAL that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SPAL - Alessandria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
SPAL has the most likely position - 14 (8.65%), has project points - 51, has currently - 14, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Alessandria has the most likely position - 19 (20.46%), has project points - 34, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches SPAL is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alessandria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match SPAL is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Watch
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