Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 21

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ternana		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.65
	2.65	3	2.75	Watch
	2.77	3.3	2.75
	2.83	3.02	2.92
	2.7	3.1	2.5
	2.71	3.14	2.72	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.78)	3.1 ↓ (3.14)	2.73 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
34.9%

Draw
30.5%

Cittadella
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

31.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Ternana - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Cittadella will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 13. Mantovani V. 4. Sorensen F. (C) 44. Lucchesi L. 15. Casasola T. 8. de Boer K. 16. Faticanti G. 66. Pyyhtia N. 79. Carboni F. 10. Pereiro G. 9. Raimondo A.	36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 30. Negro S. 24. Carissoni L. 16. Vita A. (C) 27. Danzi A. 20. Carriero G. 10. Cassano C. 7. Pandolfi L. 11. Pittarello F.
Substitutes
5. Boloca G. 19. Capuano M. 23. Diakite S. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 27. Favasuli C. 17. Favilli A. 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 25. Labojko J. 71. Luperini G. 18. Vitali T. (G) 11. Zuberek J.	8. Amatucci F. 4. Angeli M. 92. Baldini E. 15. Frare D. 98. Giraudo F. 17. Kornvig E. 9. Magrassi A. 32. Maistrello T. 77. Maniero L. (G) 5. Mastrantonio V. 28. Rizza A. 18. Tessiore A.
Coaches
Breda R.	Gorini E.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 2.

Recent matches Ternana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cittadella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Ternana won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
13.01.24	Bari - Ternana	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Ternana - Pisa	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Parma - Ternana	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Lecco - Ternana	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Ternana - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLWW
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
13.01.24	Cittadella - Palermo	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Ascoli - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Cittadella - Spezia	4:1 ✺
16.12.23	Modena - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
07.10.23	Cittadella - Ternana	2:2
25.02.23	Ternana - Cittadella	1:2
01.10.22	Cittadella - Ternana	0:2
02.04.22	Cittadella - Ternana	1:2
20.11.21	Ternana - Cittadella	1:1
07.04.18	Ternana - Cittadella	5:1
04.11.17	Cittadella - Ternana	1:1

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