Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Alessandria		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.37	Watch
	3	3.1	2.4
	3.4	2.9	2.35	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.35
	3.34	3.12	2.46
	3.3	3.2	2.2
	3.1	3.32	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.75)	3.1 ↑ (3)	2.35 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
29.5%

Draw
30.4%

Cremonese
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

22.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cremonese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alessandria - Cremonese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Alessandria has the most likely position - 18 (17.39%), has project points - 38, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cremonese has the most likely position - 3 (9.16%), has project points - 60, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cremonese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
20.11.21	SPAL - Alessandria	2:3 ✺
06.11.21	Alessandria - Ternana	0:2 ✺
01.11.21	Monza - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
28.10.21	Alessandria - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
22.10.21	Alessandria - Crotone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLTW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
21.11.21	Reggina - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
06.11.21	Cremonese - SPAL	1:1 ✺
01.11.21	Pordenone - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
28.10.21	Cremonese - Pisa	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Brescia - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
20.02.17	Cremonese - Alessandria	1:0
03.10.16	Alessandria - Cremonese	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.02.16	Cremonese - Alessandria	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
01.02.16	Cremonese - Alessandria	2:1
19.09.15	Alessandria - Cremonese	0:0
01.03.15	Alessandria - Cremonese	1:0
11.10.14	Cremonese - Alessandria	1:1

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