The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pordenone 26.8%
Draw 30.4%
Cremonese 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
29.6%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
22.1%
58.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pordenone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cremonese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.1%
26.3%
52.6%
Pordenone - Cremonese Predictions
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Pordenone will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Cremonese will win (votes: 20 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 26.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 36.7% – 68.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (42.53%), has project points - 29, has currently - 2, has a good chance of relegated (83%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cremonese has the most likely position - 4 (8.85%), has project points - 59, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
Pordenone has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Cremonese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cremonese will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
Watch
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