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Current Win Probability
Alessandria 32.1%
Draw 29.5%
Crotone 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
30.3%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
23.5%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessandria's form might have worsened.
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crotone's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+26.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-19.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alessandria - Crotone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).
Alessandria has the most likely position - 20 (20.85%), has project points - 35, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Crotone has the most likely position - 16 (8.2%), has project points - 47, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Alessandria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Crotone is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.