Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 18

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria)


	Alessandria		Montevarchi

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.35	2.7	3.15
	2.33	2.7	3.05
	2.38	2.77	3.23
	2.35	2.8	3.1
	2.29	3	3.1	Watch
	2.36	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.38)	2.8 (2.8)	3.1 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
38.6%

Draw
32.2%

Montevarchi
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

31.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

31.1%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Alessandria - Montevarchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alessandria will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alessandria: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Alessandria is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Montevarchi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
03.12.22	Ancona - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
29.11.22	Alessandria - Olbia	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Alessandria - Siena	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Alessandria - Renate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLL
- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
03.12.22	Montevarchi - Pontedera	1:2 ✺
29.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Montevarchi	3:1 ✺
26.11.22	Montevarchi - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Imolese - Montevarchi	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Montevarchi - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTWT

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