Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio del Conero (Ancona)


	Ancona		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.84	3.15	4
	1.91	2.9	3.8
	1.92	2.89	4.46
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	1.93	3.18	3.84	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.79)	3.03 ↓ (3.09)	3.92 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ancona
47.2%

Draw
29.8%

Alessandria
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

29%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

28.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Ancona - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Ancona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alessandria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ancona is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.22	Carrarese - Ancona	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Ancona - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Cesena - Ancona	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Ancona - Imolese	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Ancona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWWT
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.22	Alessandria - Olbia	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Alessandria - Siena	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Alessandria - Renate	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Fermana - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLLT

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