Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)


	Cesena		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.5	6	Watch
	1.57	3.3	5.75
	1.53	3.3	5.8
	1.46	3.45	6.13
	1.5	3.4	6.5
	1.47	3.82	6.6	Watch
	1.54	3.6	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)	3.48 ↓ (3.57)	6.08 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
59.4%

Draw
25.8%

Alessandria
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

25%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

23.7%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Cesena - Alessandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Alessandria will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Cesena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alessandria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cesena is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
10.12.22	Vis Pesaro - Cesena	1:2 ✺
03.12.22	Cesena - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:2 ✺
29.11.22	Lucchese - Cesena	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Olbia - Cesena	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Cesena - Ancona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
10.12.22	Alessandria - Montevarchi	2:2 ✺
03.12.22	Ancona - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
29.11.22	Alessandria - Olbia	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Alessandria - Siena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTTL

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