Match Info

Date: 8 November 2020, Sunday


	Alessandria		Livorno

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.5
	2.1	2.9	3.5
	2	3.15	3.3
	2	2.8	3.85
	2.08	2.95	4.22
	2	3	4
	2.03	3.2	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (2.01)	3.04 ↓ (3.19)	3.71 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
45.2%

Draw
30.1%

Livorno
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

19.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Livorno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandria - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Livorno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alessandria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
01.11.20	Carrarese - Alessandria	0:2 ✺
25.10.20	Alessandria - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
21.10.20	Alessandria - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	Giana Erminio - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
12.10.20	Alessandria - Novara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLTL
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
04.11.20	Livorno - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Livorno - Pergolettese	3:2 ✺
25.10.20	Renate - Livorno	0:2 ✺
21.10.20	Livorno - Novara	2:3 ✺
18.10.20	Olbia - Livorno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.01.18	Livorno - Alessandria	0:1
15.09.17	Alessandria - Livorno	0:3
30.12.16	Livorno - Alessandria	2:1
04.09.16	Alessandria - Livorno	3:1

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