Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 21

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Uno


	Livorno		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.12	3.25	3.15
	2.15	3.37	3.08	Watch
	2.15	3	3
	2.15	3.14	3.15	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.11)	3.18 (3.18)	3.11 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
42.4%

Draw
28.5%

Juventus U23
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Juventus U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Livorno - Juventus U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Livorno (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Seghetti J. (G) 2. Gentile D. 26. Noce M. 49. Baldi L. 20. Haveri K. 28. Hamlili Z. 44. Bonassi L. . Luperini G. 55. Peralta D. 9. Dionisi F. 13. Di Carmine S.	42. Scaglia S. (G) 32. Turicchia R. 44. Pedro Felipe 3. Gil J. 41. Cudrig N. 16. Faticanti G. 8. Owusu A. 7. Puczka D. 48. Anghele L. 17. Guerra S. 90. Okoro A.
Substitutes
19. Antoni E. 14. Biondi K. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 70. Cioffi A. 15. Ghezzi S. 11. Malva A. 95. Marchesi F. 23. Marinari J. 5. Nwachukwu S. J. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 18. Panattoni M. 1. Tani F. (G)	11. Amaradio L. 18. Brugarello M. 28. Bruno L. (G) 9. Deme S. 29. Fuscaldo M. (G) 31. Martinez B. 30. Mazur P. 26. Pagnucco F. 33. Perotti C. 15. Savio F. 23. Scaglia F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Di Carmine S. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Puczka D. ⚽,
23', Turicchia R. 🟨,
26', Nwachukwu S. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Nwachukwu S. J. 🟨,
60', Dionisi F. ↓, Antoni E. ↑,
69', Peralta D. ↓, Marchesi F. ↑,
70', Luperini G. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
70', Bonassi L. ↓, Mawete J. C. ↑,
75', Turicchia R. ↓, Amaradio L. ↑,
75', Okoro A. ↓, Deme S. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Guerra S. ⚽,
90', Anghele L. ↓, Mazur P. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 12).

In recent matches, Livorno has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juventus U23 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Livorno may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Livorno is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Livorno	8	4	2	2	10:9	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
04.01.26	Ternana - Livorno	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Livorno - Pontedera	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Livorno - Arezzo	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Gubbio - Livorno	0:0 ✺
24.11.25	Livorno - Sassari Torres	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LTWTW
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group B
03.01.26	Juventus U23 - Carpi	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Bra - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Juventus U23 - Pianese	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Juventus U23 - Perugia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
30.08.25	Juventus U23 - Livorno	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.21	Juventus U23 - Livorno	6:0
04.11.20	Livorno - Juventus U23	1:1

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