Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 29

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri (Montevarchi)


	Montevarchi		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.65	2.45
	3.35	2.7	2.25
	2.91	2.74	2.33
	3.1	2.7	2.38
	3.16	2.79	2.43	Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (3)	2.73 ↑ (2.7)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
28.9%

Draw
32.9%

Lucchese
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

33.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

34.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Montevarchi - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Montevarchi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montevarchi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Montevarchi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
19.02.23	Virtus Entella - Montevarchi	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Montevarchi - Fiorenzuola	1:1
04.02.23	Carrarese - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
31.01.23	Montevarchi - Ancona	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Fermana - Montevarchi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTLLT
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
19.02.23	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Lucchese - Recanatese	1:3 ✺
04.02.23	Sassari Torres - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
31.01.23	Lucchese - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Rimini - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.10.22	Lucchese - Montevarchi	1:0
15.03.22	Montevarchi - Lucchese	2:0
07.11.21	Lucchese - Montevarchi	2:0

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