The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lumezzane 52.6%
Draw 27.5%
Pro Patria 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
27.1%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
25.8%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lumezzane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Lumezzane - Pro Patria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Drago G. (G) 23. Moscati M. 2. Deratti J. 31. Stivanello R. 70. Mancini S. 11. Ghillani A. 4. Paghera F. 19. Rolando M. 21. Iori M. 20. Caccavo L. 7. Ferro M.
28. Sala A. (G) 6. Sassaro A. 26. Masi A. 33. Pogliano C. 31. Felicioli G. 17. Tunjov G. 5. Di Munno A. 25. Ferri D. 70. Desogus J. 9. Udoh K. 11. Renelus B.
Substitutes
32. Anatriello G. 12. Battagliola L. (G) 6. Colangiuli V. 17. De Marino D. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 27. Gallea F. 10. Malotti M. 45. Monachello G. 95. Motta M. 15. Ndiaye M. 41. Scanzi M.
14. Citterio G. 23. Frosali J. 27. Giudici L. 10. Mastroianni F. 20. Mora C. 39. Motolese M. 7. Orfei A. 1. Rovida W. (G) 8. Schiavone A. 40. Schiro T. 19. Travaglini C. 22. Zamarian M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Ghillani A. ⚽,
35', Pogliano C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pogliano C. ↓, Motolese M. ↑,
55', Ferri D. ↓, Frosali J. ↑,
61', Ghillani A. ↓, Malotti M. ↑,
61', Ferro M. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,
69', Sassaro A. 🟨,
70', Udoh K. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
71', Caccavo L. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
72', Iori M. ↓, Motta M. ↑,
79', Felicioli G. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
79', Sassaro A. ↓, Mastroianni F. ↑,
79', Colangiuli V. ↓, Gallea F. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 1.
In recent matches, Lumezzane has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pro Patria has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Lumezzane is the team to beat.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Lumezzane won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
Italy
Watch
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Drago G. (G) 
Mancini S. 
Tunjov G. 
Udoh K. 
Renelus B. 
Ndiaye M. 
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