Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 31

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio


	Renate		Padova

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.4	1.57
	6.6	3.6	1.54
	7.88	3.78	1.48
	7.83	3.61	1.51	Watch
	7.5	3.3	1.5
	6.46	3.83	1.53	Watch
	6.6	3.6	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.91 ↓ (7.82)	3.59 ↓ (3.93)	1.52 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Renate
13.4%

Draw
25.8%

Padova
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

23.5%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

22.9%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Padova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Renate - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Padova will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Nobile T. (G) 50. Pellizzari S. 5. Auriletto S. 3. Gardoni P. 2. Eleuteri A. 25. Vassallo F. 17. Bonetti A. 32. Ghezzi A. 11. Delcarro A. 14. Cali M. 77. De Leo L.	1. Fortin M. (G) 2. Delli Carri F. (C) 31. Pirrello R. 5. Perrotta M. 7. Varas K. 8. Fusi P. 17. Capelli A. 14. Villa L. 21. Liguori M. 92. Buonaiuto C. 9. Spagnoli A.
Substitutes
7. Anghileri M. 24. Bocalon R. 8. Esposito G. 20. Marchetti M. 52. Mastromonaco G. 44. Mazzaroppi S. 1. Ombra F. (G) 37. Plescia V. 31. Satriano A. 23. Siega N. 71. Ziu D.	15. Bianchi N. 20. Bortolussi M. 11. Cretella C. 6. Crisetig L. 72. Faedo C. 30. Favale G. 23. Granata A. 26. Kirwan N. 37. Montrone A. 16. Sala A. (G) 77. Tumiatti F. 19. Valente N. 12. Voltan M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Buonaiuto C. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Cali M. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Delcarro A. ⚽,
38', Fusi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pellizzari S. ↓, Anghileri M. ↑,
55', Fusi P. ↓, Bortolussi M. ↑,
55', Capelli A. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
60', Eleuteri A. ↓, Ziu D. ↑,
60', De Leo L. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
61', Villa L. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
61', Pirrello R. ↓, Kirwan N. ↑,
67', Gardoni P. ↓, Mastromonaco G. ↑,
72', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Valente N. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Cali M. ⚽,
81', Ghezzi A. 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Bortolussi M. ⚽,
87', Delcarro A. ↓, Bocalon R. ↑,
88', Plescia V. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+2', Cretella C. 🟨,
90+5', Vassallo F. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Renate won 2.

Recent matches Renate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Padova is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Padova is a favorite.

There will not play in Padova: Belli F. (Muscle Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Renate won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:14 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Renate won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
09.03.25	Caldiero Terme - Renate	2:2 ✺
03.03.25	Renate - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Novara - Renate	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Renate - Lecco	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
09.03.25	Padova - AlbinoLeffe	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	FeralpiSalò - Padova	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Padova - Giana Erminio	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Vicenza Virtus - Padova	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Padova - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
30.10.24	Padova - Renate	1:0
03.03.24	Renate - Padova	0:1
24.10.23	Padova - Renate	0:0
25.03.23	Renate - Padova	2:0
27.11.22	Padova - Renate	0:1
21.12.21	Padova - Renate	2:0
28.08.21	Renate - Padova	0:3

Upcoming Matches