Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	17:00	Footballclub


	Alfaro		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.05	2.12
	3.2	3.43	2.16
	3.13	3.34	2.14	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.33	3.22	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.56)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	2.14 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfaro
28.7%

Draw
28.4%

Amorebieta
42.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.9%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

28.4%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Alfaro - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent form of Alfaro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Amorebieta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Amorebieta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Amorebieta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alfaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.02.26	Ebro - Alfaro	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Alfaro - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Utebo - Alfaro	4:1 ✺
08.02.26	Alfaro - Beasain	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Sestao - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.03.26	Amorebieta - Zaragoza B	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Basconia - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Amorebieta - Ejea	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Náxara - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Beasain - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.11.25	Amorebieta - Alfaro	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.11.26	Amorebieta - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	✺

Alfaro - Amorebieta