Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday


	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno		Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.95
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.12	3.23	3.05
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.13	3.42	3.08	Watch
	2.13	3.3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.47)	3.28 ↓ (3.34)	3.06 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
42.9%

Draw
27.5%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.6%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfonso Ugarte de Puno's performance.

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Universidad de Huánuco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfonso Ugarte de Puno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alfonso Ugarte will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Castellanos G. (G) 59. Ayovi W. 11. Cuero J. 16. Davila C. (C) 30. Gutierrez A. 8. Lara F. 96. Lopez E. 20. Paye E. 10. Quiroz A. 32. Suclupe M. 19. Timana H.	95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Aoki A. 33. Camara J. 17. Campodonico R. 10. Carabano D. (C) 6. Ibarguen J. 26. Iraola G. 9. Pajoy L. 3. Schmidt F. 38. Sernaque J. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O.
Substitutes
7. Aguirre L. 25. Caceres R. (G) 84. Lopez R. 49. Mendoza R. 27. Paladines B. 3. Pretel W.	19. Aivar F. 8. Deza J. 7. Espinoza Vega F. E. 1. Figueroa E. (G) 4. Laura C. 5. Montenegro E. 13. Tito R.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Alfonso Ugarte is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alianza Universidad is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alfonso Ugarte will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alfonso Ugarte won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfonso Ugarte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
30.07.23	Los Chankas - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	3:1 ✺
26.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:0 ✺
12.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Deportivo Llacuabamba	4:0 ✺
02.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWT
- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 2
30.07.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Ayacucho	3:2 ✺
24.07.23	Carlos Stein - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:2
18.07.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universidad San Martín	2:2 ✺
10.07.23	Pirata - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:2 ✺
03.07.23	Unión Huaral - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
13.05.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	1:1
25.09.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:2
26.06.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1

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