Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 12 July 2023, Wednesday


	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno		Deportivo Llacuabamba

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.5
	1.9	3.35	3.35
	1.92	3.38	3.4
	1.88	3.2	3.7
	1.89	3.5	3.68	Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)	3.38 ↓ (3.71)	3.51 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
47.7%

Draw
26.6%

Deportivo Llacuabamba
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

25.7%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

27.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Deportivo Llacuabamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	22.7%	9.1%

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Deportivo Llacuabamba Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Alfonso Ugarte will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Llacuabamba will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alfonso Ugarte: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Castellanos G. (G) 59. Ayovi W. 28. Cotrina J. 11. Cuero J. 16. Davila C. 30. Gutierrez A. 77. Palomino K. 10. Quiroz A. 32. Suclupe M. 2. Talavera I. 13. Vernal G.	30. Rebora E. (G) 22. Acevedo G. 12. Chavez R. 25. de la Haza P. (C) 7. Gallardo M. 11. Montero J. 3. Otiniano B. 18. Palomino M. 19. Quintero J. 13. Vasquez J. 5. Vega J.
Substitutes
7. Aguirre L. 25. Caceres R. (G) 27. Paladines B. 20. Paye E. 3. Pretel W. 19. Timana H.	15. Avila E. 27. Campos A. 20. Curiel M. 28. Delgado M. 14. Gallardo J. 6. Hidalgo A. 1. Rojas S. (G)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Alfonso Ugarte is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Llacuabamba is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Alfonso Ugarte is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alfonso Ugarte won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfonso Ugarte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
02.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Santos	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Juan Aurich - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	0:0 ✺
20.06.23	Ayacucho - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:2 ✺
14.06.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Carlos Stein	5:1 ✺
08.06.23	Universidad San Martín - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTTWL
- Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peruvian Liga 2
04.07.23	Ayacucho - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:3 ✺
28.06.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Carlos Stein	4:3 ✺
19.06.23	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:2 ✺
13.06.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Pirata	4:0 ✺
07.06.23	Unión Huaral - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
16.04.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	1:1
14.08.22	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:3
15.05.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:0

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