Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday


	Walsall		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	9
	1.41	4.8	7.25
	1.4	5	8	Watch
	1.39	4.84	7.99
	1.39	4.84	7.99
	1.33	4.5	7
	1.39	4.7	7.7	Watch
	1.4	4.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 (1.39)	4.7 ↑ (4.47)	7.77 ↑ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walsall
67.8%

Draw
20%

Alfreton Town
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

20.4%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

19.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Walsall - Alfreton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Walsall will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Alfreton will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Smith J. (G) 2. Okagbue D. 6. Farquharson P. 5. Daniels D. (C) 10. Knowles T. 14. Comley B. 4. McEntee O. 25. Stirk R. 3. Gordon L. 9. Matt J. 11. James-Taylor D.	1. Willis G. (G) 2. Clackstone J. 14. Brisley S. (C) 6. Wiley D. 23. Newall N. 8. Cantrill G. 4. Lund A. 12. Perritt H. 11. Salmon L. 29. Taylor R. 7. Thewlis J.
Substitutes
21. Allen T. 32. Barrett G. (G) 15. Draper F. 17. Earing J. 12. Foulkes J. 42. Griffiths H. 8. Hutchinson I. 39. Johnson D. 19. Williams H.	13. Askew J. (G) 9. Day J. 5. Digie K. 22. Fewster B. 21. Grewal-Pollard W. 17. Oliver J. 16. Stacey J. 10. Waldock L.
Coaches
Sadler M. J.	Heath B.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 0-0.

Recent matches Walsall is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alfreton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alfreton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Walsall have a series of guest games.

Recently Alfreton have a series of home games.

In this match Walsall is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Walsall won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walsall FC
English League Two
09.12.23	Notts County - Walsall	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.12.23	Alfreton Town - Walsall	0:0 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Barrow - Walsall	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Walsall - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTLTL
- Alfreton Town
English FA Cup
05.12.23	Alfreton Town - Walsall	0:0 ✺
English National League North
25.11.23	Alfreton Town - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Alfreton Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Alfreton Town - Macclesfield Town	2:4 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Rushall Olympic - Alfreton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
05.12.23	Alfreton Town - Walsall	0:0
Club Friendly
06.07.19	Alfreton Town - Walsall	2:1
22.07.14	Alfreton Town - Walsall	2:0
16.07.13	Alfreton Town - Walsall	0:6

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