Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 37

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Algeciras		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.2	3.3	2.15
	3.34	3.3	2.19
	3.34	3.26	2.19
	3.33	3.34	2.08
	3.15	3.2	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.83)	3.24 ↓ (3.47)	2.13 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
28.5%

Draw
28.3%

Castellón
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

26.5%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

25.4%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Algeciras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Algeciras - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia L. (G) 14. Santos S. 23. Rodriguez J. 6. Montes E. 15. Diori Y. 10. Esteban Diego 4. Fernandez B. 20. Garcia M. 7. Zequi 8. Turrillo I. (C) 19. Lopez J.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 12. Chirino D. 14. Gil O. (C) 33. Vertrouwd J. 29. Punzano I. 8. Gracia J. 7. Moyita S. 19. Villahermosa D. 11. Aurelio D. 21. Kastaneer G. 20. Iosifov N.
Substitutes
9. Cueto J. 31. Dominiguez C. 26. Fernandez M. 1. Lavin M. (G) 17. Martin D. 21. Milosevic S. 28. Navarro I. 29. Pimienta 2. Roldan R. 22. Sardinero A.	26. Albert J. 13. Carney J. (G) 9. de Miguel J. 4. Medunjanin H. 27. Minana S. 37. Murcia R. 16. Sanchez M. 24. Schwake B. (G) 22. Suero I. 6. Veldwijk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Garcia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gil O. 🟨,
61', Villahermosa D. ↓, Veldwijk L. ↑,
61', Gracia J. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
61', Kastaneer G. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
65', Santos S. ↓, Sardinero A. ↑,
65', Fernandez B. ↓, Roldan R. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Aurelio D. ⚽,
73', Esteban Diego ↓, Milosevic S. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Zequi ⚽,
82', Suero I. 🟨,
83', 🟨,
83', Lopez J. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
83', Zequi ↓, Navarro I. ↑,
84', Aurelio D. 🟨,
86', Crettaz G. 🟨,
90+1', Iosifov N. ↓, Murcia R. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Castellón is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2

Algeciras is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellón is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castellón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Algeciras won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.05.24	Recreativo Huelva - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
05.05.24	Algeciras - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Atlético Madrid B - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Algeciras - Antequera	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	Mérida AD - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.05.24	Castellón - Ibiza	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Real Murcia - Castellón	2:3 ✺
28.04.24	Castellón - Melilla	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Linares Deportivo - Castellón	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Castellón - Granada B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.01.24	Castellón - Algeciras	2:1
29.04.22	Castellón - Algeciras	1:0
07.11.21	Algeciras - Castellón	0:0

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