Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de Marrakech (Marrakech)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Tolo TV
Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 4, New World Sport 5, New World Sport 6, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
Algeria	ENTV
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	TPA 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Benin	Benin TV
Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 4
Cameroon	Canal 2 International
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chad	Tele Tchad
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Win play, Win Sports
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI, RTI 3
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Equatorial-guinea	TVGE Internacional
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	MATV
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mali	ORTM
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Claro Sports, FOX One, Fox Sports, Marca Claro
Morocco	Al Aoula, Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
Mozambique	TV Miramar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	NTA Sports, SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV6
Republic-of-the-congo	Tele Congo
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SABC 2, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Suriname	SCCN
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Togo	TVT
Turkey	Exxen
Uganda	UBC TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	4Seven, Channel 4, E4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Algeria		Nigeria

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.63	Watch
	3	3	2.55	Watch
	3.28	2.96	2.48	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.5
	3.29	2.89	2.49	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.03)	2.93 ↓ (3.04)	2.52 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeria
30.1%

Draw
32.3%

Nigeria
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

31.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

31.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Nigeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeria than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nigeria than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	52%	32%

Algeria - Nigeria Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Algeria will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Nigeria will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 54.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Algeria (2.26) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

TQ, OT - Nigeria (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Algeria (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Nigeria (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zidane L. (G) Granada CF 25. Belghali R. Verona 2. Mandi A. Lille 21. Bensebaini R. Dortmund 15. Ait Nouri R. Manchester City 7. Mahrez R. (C) Al Ahli SC 6. Zerrouki R. Twente 14. Boudaoui H. Nice 17. Chaibi F. Eintracht Frankfurt 22. Maza I. Bayer Leverkusen 18. Amoura M. Wolfsburg	23. Nwabali S. (G) Chippa Utd. 2. Osayi-Samuel B. Birmingham 6. Ajayi S. Hull City 21. Bassey C. Fulham 13. Onyemaechi B. Olympiacos Piraeus 8. Onyeka F. Brentford 4. Ndidi W. (C) Besiktas 17. Iwobi A. Fulham 7. Lookman A. Atalanta 22. Adams A. Sevilla 9. Osimhen V. Galatasaray
Substitutes
8. Abdelli H. Angers 20. Atal Y. Al-Sadd 12. Bakrar M. Din. Zagreb 5. Belaid Z. Kabylie 16. Benbot O. (G) USM Alger 28. Berkane R. Al Wakra 27. Boulbina A. Al-Duhail 9. Bounedjah B. Shamal 3. Dorval M. Bari 11. Hadj Moussa A. Feyenoord 24. Kebbal I. Paris FC 1. Mandrea A. (G) Caen 19. Zorgane A. Royale Union SG	26. Akinsanmiro E. Pisa 20. Awaziem C. Nantes 11. Chukwueze S. Fulham 10. Dele-Bashiru F. Lazio 24. Ejuke C. Sevilla 25. Lawal S. Istra 1961 14. Mohammed U. Ironi Tiberias 28. Nnadi T. Waregem 16. Obasogie A. (G) Singida Black Stars 5. Ogbu I. Slavia Prague 19. Onuachu P. Trabzonspor 18. Onyedika R. Club Brugge 15. Simon M. Paris FC 1. Uzoho F. (G) Omonia 3. Zaidu FC Porto
Coaches
Petkovic V.	Chelle E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Zerrouki R. 🟨,
28', Amoura M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Osimhen V. ⚽, Onyemaechi B. (A),
57', 0 - 2, Adams A. ⚽, Osimhen V. (A),
60', Zerrouki R. ↓, Bounedjah B. ↑,
60', Mahrez R. ↓, Hadj Moussa A. ↑,
61', Maza I. ↓, Boulbina A. ↑,
62', Ait Nouri R. 🟨,
67', Ndidi W. 🟨,
68', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,
69', Onyeka F. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
69', Ndidi W. ↓, Onyedika R. ↑,
75', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
81', Amoura M. ↓, Berkane R. ↑,
81', Boudaoui H. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
85', Nwabali S. 🟨,
86', Adams A. ↓, Awaziem C. ↑,
86', Lookman A. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
90+5', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Ogbu I. ↑,
90+9', Simon M. 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Algeria: Aouar H. (Groin Injury) Hadjam J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Nigeria: Dessers C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Algeria: Bennacer I. (Hamstring Injury) Chergui S. (Injury) Tougai M. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algeria won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeria
Africa Cup of Nations
06.01.26	Algeria - D.R. Congo	1:0 ET ✺
31.12.25	Equatorial Guinea - Algeria	1:3 ✺
28.12.25	Algeria - Burkina Faso	1:0 ✺
24.12.25	Algeria - Sudan	3:0 ✺
FIFA Arab Cup
12.12.25	Algeria - United Arab Emirates	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Nigeria
Africa Cup of Nations
05.01.26	Nigeria - Mozambique	4:0 ✺
30.12.25	Uganda - Nigeria	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Nigeria - Tunisia	3:2 ✺
23.12.25	Nigeria - Tanzania	2:1 ✺
Friendly
16.12.25	Egypt - Nigeria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
27.09.22	Algeria - Nigeria	2:1
09.10.20	Nigeria - Algeria	0:1
Africa Cup of Nations
14.07.19	Algeria - Nigeria	2:1
FIFA World Cup
10.11.17	Algeria - Nigeria	1:1
12.11.16	Nigeria - Algeria	3:1

Algeria - Nigeria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide