The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Atlético 55%
Draw 25.8%
Comerciantes Unidos 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
26.6%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
25.7%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
The chances for Comerciantes Unidos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 16. Fernandez S. 2. Suarez R. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. 10. Diaz G. 15. Lupu H. (C) 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 22. del Castillo J. 17. Penilla C. 29. Molina J.
17. Cordova M. (G) 16. F. Rojas 66. Fuentes P. 6. Rodriguez J. 15. Cossio A. 4. Arias A. 20. Parodi J. 18. Rodriguez A. 32. Jhon Sanchez 9. Sen M. (C) 50. Olivares J.
Substitutes
37. Delgado J. 8. Flores F. 25. Guzman W. 19. Mendieta J. 23. Munoz A. 20. Perez J. 95. Prieto D. (G) 9. Robaldo V. 77. Valladolid C.
8. Ayovi W. 10. Carpio Ferro M. P. 99. Charun J. (G) 54. Gamero Y. 30. Guzman P. 19. Lino D. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 28. Pinto O. 14. Salinas T.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.
Hernandez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Olivares J. ⚽, Sen M. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Molina J. ⚽, Diaz G. (A),
25', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
33', Rodriguez A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, Penilla C. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Sen M. 🟨,
67', Olivares J. ↓, Ayovi W. ↑,
67', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
68', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
77', Arias A. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
85', Molina J. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
86', Parodi J. ↓, Gamero Y. ↑,
90+1', Munoz A. 🟨,
90+2', del Castillo J. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
90+2', Penilla C. ↓, Valladolid C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
Alianza Atlético is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Comerciantes Unidos has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Alianza Atlético carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Alianza Atlético: Ingratti J.
(Red Card).
Confirmed absences for Comerciantes Unidos: Alcedo F.
(Red Card)
Vilca R.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Alianza Atlético: Villegas J. C.
(Knee Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Alianza Atlético in today's match, at odds of 1.59.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atlético has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:21 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza Atlético against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 15:6 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).
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Rivadeneyra S. (G) 
Suarez R. 
Penilla C. 
Molina J. 
Rodriguez A. 
Lino D. 
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