Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Heroes de San Ramon (Cajamarca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guadalupe Cardenas Morales R. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Peru	13:15	Liga 1 Max, Movistar Deportes
Usa	14:15	SportsEngine Play


	Cajamarca		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.00	3.10	3.30
	1.92	3.15	4.15	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.15
	2.3	3.18	3.19	Watch
	2.12	3	3.3
	2.2	3.1	3.33	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.92)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	3.36 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
43%

Draw
29.5%

Comerciantes Unidos
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.4%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.

Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Barrios I. (G) 35. Paredes G. 3. Ganoza M. 2. Duarte B. (C) 15. Cantt J. 16. Figuera A. 5. Huerto J. 11. Arroyo A. 10. Lliuya M. 22. Camacho D. 9. de Jesus M.	17. Cordova M. (G) 16. F. Rojas 40. Alcedo F. 6. Rodriguez J. (C) 15. Cossio A. 11. Herrera J. 18. Rodriguez A. 4. Arias A. 8. Ayovi W. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 25. Vilca R.
Substitutes
88. Arce L. 21. Bettocchi R. (G) 6. Cavagna F. 8. Dioses D. 18. Galvez S. 17. Garro L. 7. Nunez J.	10. Carpio Ferro M. P. 99. Charun J. (G) 30. Guzman P. 32. Jhon Sanchez 50. Olivares J. 20. Parodi J. 28. Pinto O. 14. Salinas T. 9. Sen M.
Coaches
Paulucci C.	Hernandez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Vilca R. ⚽, Ayovi W. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Camacho D. ⚽,
36', Ganoza M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', de Jesus M. ↓, Cavagna F. ↑,
46', Paredes G. ↓, Garro L. ↑,
46', Herrera J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Vilca R. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Cantt J. 🟨,
60', Cantt J. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
60', Lliuya M. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Perez Azambuya E. M. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Vilca R. ↓, Olivares J. ↑,
72', Ayovi W. ↓, Jhon Sanchez ↑,
72', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
76', Arias A. ↓, Parodi J. ↑,

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Comerciantes Unidos	13	3	4	6	23:24	-1	13
18	Cajamarca	14	1	2	11	15:29	-14	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
15.08.26	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Cusco - Cajamarca	4:1 ✺
26.07.26	Cajamarca - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
14.08.26	Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	3:1 ✺
31.07.26	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Lima	2:2 ✺
18.07.26	Moquegua - Comerciantes Unidos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
07.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	1:2
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1
Peruvian Liga 1
03.10.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	2:1
17.05.25	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0
15.08.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	1:1
08.03.24	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	2:3
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
12.06.21	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	0:1

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