Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra (Cutervo)

Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Comerciantes Unidos		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.90	5.50	Watch
	1.55	3.70	5.00
	1.63	3.70	5.10	Watch
	1.60	3.95	5.58
	1.6	3.88	5.54	Watch
	1.58	3.80	5.50
	1.57	3.95	5.57	Watch
	1.53	3.85	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.65)	3.84 ↑ (3.6)	5.4 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Unidos
58.7%

Draw
24.1%

Cajamarca
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.6%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

23%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comerciantes Unidos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Cajamarca (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cordova M. (G) 16. F. Rojas 40. Alcedo F. 6. Rodriguez J. (C) 15. Cossio A. 11. Herrera J. 18. Rodriguez A. 4. Arias A. 8. Ayovi W. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 25. Vilca R.	12. Aspajo S. (G) 5. Suarez R. 95. Vilchez Y. 2. Posito Olazabal A. J. 31. Enciso S. 6. Rasmussen M. 18. Orejuela J. G. (C) 13. Correa Flores C. A. 17. Palacios B. 9. Cejas P. 11. Arrasco M.
Substitutes
10. Carpio Ferro M. P. 99. Charun J. (G) 30. Guzman P. 32. Jhon Sanchez 50. Olivares J. 20. Parodi J. 28. Pinto O. 14. Salinas T. 9. Sen M.	32. Alegria P. 88. Aubert E. 35. Dioses R. 44. Gomez C. 25. Goyoneche P. 14. Gutierrez A. 77. Lugo J. 3. Medina J. (G) 21. Vega J.
Coaches
Hernandez J.	Ayala Gavilan C. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Rasmussen M. ⚽, Correa Flores C. A. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Arrasco M. ⚽, Posito Olazabal A. J. (A),
45+6', Correa Flores C. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Olivares J. ↑,
46', Ayovi W. ↓, Jhon Sanchez ↑,
46', Herrera J. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
49', Alcedo F. 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Olivares J. ⚽,
58', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
59', 2 - 2, Vilca R. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Olivares J. 🟨,
67', Palacios B. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
67', Correa Flores C. A. ↓, Goyoneche P. ↑,
73', Rasmussen M. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
78', Arrasco M. 🟨,
84', Olivares J. ↓, Carpio Ferro M. P. ↑,
85', Cejas P. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Arrasco M. ⚽, Enciso S. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).

In recent matches, Comerciantes Unidos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cajamarca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Comerciantes Unidos is a strong favorite.

There are questionable in Cajamarca: Gallardo J. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	FC Cajamarca	11	3	2	6	18:24	-6	11
14	Comerciantes Unidos	11	2	4	5	18:19	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
22.08.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	3:1 ✺
31.07.26	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Lima	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLT
- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
21.08.26	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	1:3 ✺
16.08.26	Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes	2:3 ✺
09.08.26	FBC Melgar - Cajamarca	2:4 ✺
01.08.26	Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
13.03.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	3:4

Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide