Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Lima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Universitario de Deportes		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	8.00	Watch
	1.33	4.50	7.25
	1.34	4.90	9.50	Watch
	1.37	4.83	8.31
	1.38	4.75	7.93	Watch
	1.30	4.95	9.30
	1.33	4.80	8.80	Watch
	1.33	4.60	7.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.47)	4.76 ↑ (4.2)	8.34 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
69.3%

Draw
19.6%

Comerciantes Unidos
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.4%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

21.7%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Deportes's performance.

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Universitario de Deportes - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Romero D. (G) 2. Fara C. 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 24. Polo A. (C) 28. Quiroz A. 15. Requena J. 17. Concha J. 33. Inga C. 18. Lapadula G. 20. Valera A.	17. Cordova M. (G) 16. F. Rojas 40. Alcedo F. 6. Rodriguez J. 15. Cossio A. 4. Arias A. 20. Parodi J. 32. Jhon Sanchez 50. Olivares J. 25. Vilca R. 9. Sen M.
Substitutes
30. Alzugaray L. 10. Calcaterra H. 8. Fertoli H. 70. Gutierrez J. 23. Murrugarra J. 39. Quispe Cordova P. A. 11. Rivera J. 4. Santamaria A. 25. Vargas M. (G)	8. Ayovi W. 99. Charun J. (G) 66. Fuentes P. 54. Gamero Y. 30. Guzman P. 11. Herrera J. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 18. Rodriguez A. 14. Salinas T.
Coaches
Cuper H.	Hernandez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', F. Rojas 🟨,
21', Sen M. 🟨,
25', Requena J. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Jhon Sanchez ⚽, Olivares J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Requena J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
46', Quiroz A. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Inga C. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
53', 1 - 2, Alcedo F. ⚽, Vilca R. (A),
62', Lapadula G. 🟨,
66', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Guzman P. ↑,
66', Arias A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
77', Fara C. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Lapadula G. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Vilca R. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
88', Murrugarra J. 🟨,
90+6', Parodi J. ↓, Fuentes P. ↑,
90+6', Sen M. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 3.

Uni de Deportes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Comerciantes Unidos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Uni de Deportes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Uni de Deportes is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:10. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:1. (average 2.5:0.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. de Deportes	11	6	3	2	21:18	3	21
14	Comerciantes Unidos	11	2	4	5	18:19	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
29.08.26	Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes	2:4 ✺
23.08.26	Universitario de Deportes - Los Chankas	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes	2:3 ✺
07.08.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWTL
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
28.08.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	3:1 ✺
31.07.26	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
21.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Universitario de Deportes	0:0
18.07.25	Universitario de Deportes - Comerciantes Unidos	3:1
09.02.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Universitario de Deportes	1:1
29.09.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Universitario de Deportes	0:2
28.04.24	Universitario de Deportes - Comerciantes Unidos	6:0
25.11.18	Universitario de Deportes - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0
26.08.18	Comerciantes Unidos - Universitario de Deportes	3:4

Universitario de Deportes - Comerciantes Unidos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide