The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Cristal 69.8%
Draw 19%
Comerciantes Unidos 11.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.4%
19.9%
11.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.4%
17.3%
10.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sporting Cristal - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 6. Alvarez Wallace A. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 16. Iberico L. 23. Castro M. 22. Hoyos M.
17. Cordova M. (G) 32. Jhon Sanchez 40. Alcedo F. 6. Rodriguez J. 19. Lino D. 54. Gamero Y. 20. Parodi J. 4. Arias A. 50. Olivares J. 25. Vilca R. 9. Sen M. (C)
Substitutes
96. Abram L. 11. Avila I. 29. Barcos H. 33. Bautista C. (G) 21. Cabellos C. 77. Cuesta J. 27. Gabriel 18. Gonzalez J. 25. Tavara M.
10. Carpio Ferro M. P. 99. Charun J. (G) 15. Cossio A. 30. Guzman P. 11. Herrera J. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 28. Pinto O. 18. Rodriguez A. 14. Salinas T.
Coaches
Mosquera R.
Hernandez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Iberico L. ⚽,
39', Arias A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Gamero Y. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
51', Cristiano 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Vilca R. (A),
63', Hoyos M. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
63', Alvarez Wallace A. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Iberico L. ⚽, Gonzalez S. (A),
71', 3 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽, Tavara M. (A),
73', Castro M. ↓, Abram L. ↑,
79', Vilca R. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
84', 3 - 2, Sen M. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Olivares J. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
85', Parodi J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 2, Barcos H. ⚽, Yotun Y. (A),
90+6', Iberico L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
90+6', Sosa L. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 4.
Sporting Cristal is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Comerciantes Unidos is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Comerciantes Unidos could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Sporting Cristal holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Confirmed absences for Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C.
(Knee Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Comerciantes Unidos: Ayovi W.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Sporting Cristal: Wisdom I.
(Elbow Injury).
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:14 (averaging 1.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sporting Cristal against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:5 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
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Enriquez D. (G) 
Sosa L. 
Cristiano 
Gonzalez S. 
Jhon Sanchez 
Lino D. 
Cuesta J. 
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