Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Referee: Lozano S. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Sporting Cristal		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	12	Watch
	1.1	8.75	15.5
				Watch
	1.19	7.17	12.31
				Watch
	1.11	8.5	21
	1.21	6.51	11.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.19)	7.49 ↑ (6.61)	14.46 ↑ (12.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
80.9%

Draw
12.6%

Comerciantes Unidos
6.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.6%

14.1%

7.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Sporting Cristal - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.25 - Comerciantes Unidos (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 4. Chavez G. 2. Ballumbrosio D. 5. Lutiger R. 28. Pasquini N. 25. Tavara M. 10. Gonzales C. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 26. Wisdom I. 23. Castro M. 9. Cauteruccio M.	23. Villete A. (G) 27. Sosa B. 25. Guzman W. 31. Aguilar R. 15. Carpio Ferro M. P. 30. Marina J. 6. Paico K. 26. Mendez P. 14. Gonzales S. 9. Sen M. (C) 77. Sandoval R.
Substitutes
11. Avila I. 18. Cabellos A. 39. Caparo H. 32. Diaz L. 13. Duarte A. (G) 40. Moretti J. 24. Pacheco F. 6. Pretell J. 8. Sosa L.	36. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 96. Campos H. 5. Duclos F. 12. Garcia L. 28. Garcia L. (G) 11. Lecaros A. 35. Paredes G. 20. Parodi J. 18. Portugal B.
Coaches
Autuori P.	Ferreyra D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Paico K. 🟨,
39', Marina J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tavara M. ↓, Pretell J. ↑,
46', Castro M. ↓, Pacheco F. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Cauteruccio M. (Pen),
54', 2 - 0, Pacheco F. ⚽, Cauteruccio M. (A),
59', Chavez G. 🟨,
61', Paico K. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
74', Mendez P. ↓, Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↑,
74', Carpio Ferro M. P. ↓, Lecaros A. ↑,
79', Ballumbrosio D. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
79', Gonzalez S. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
87', Gonzales S. ↓, Portugal B. ↑,
87', Aguilar R. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
87', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Moretti J. ↑,
89', Paredes G. 🟨,
90+1', Pacheco F. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 3.

Sporting Cristal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Comerciantes Unidos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Comerciantes Unidos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting Cristal is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Iberico L. (Injury) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Tecilla N. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
21.06.25	Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal	3:1 ✺
15.06.25	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.25	Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal	6:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
22.05.25	Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLW
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
22.06.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Pablo II College	3:0 ✺
18.06.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
12.06.25	Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos	3:0 ✺
24.05.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
03.11.24	Sporting Cristal - Comerciantes Unidos	3:0
25.05.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal	0:1
30.09.18	Sporting Cristal - Comerciantes Unidos	0:2
09.06.18	Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal	1:1
11.04.18	Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal	1:3
25.02.18	Sporting Cristal - Comerciantes Unidos	3:0
10.09.17	Sporting Cristal - Comerciantes Unidos	2:2

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