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Current Win Probability
Alianza Atlético 57.4%
Draw 24.6%
Los Chankas 18.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.2%
26.4%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
25.1%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Atlético's performance.
Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Chankas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 21. Perleche E. 25. Guzman W. 2. Suarez R. 24. Gordillo A. 10. Diaz G. 15. Lupu H. (C) 22. del Castillo J. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 27. Ingratti J. 17. Penilla C.
1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 33. Pimienta C. 2. Gonzalez H. 26. Gonzales D. 31. Quintana A. 5. Palomino J. 4. Campos A. 15. Sanchez K. 11. Quintero J. 20. Torres M.
Substitutes
99. Barreda M. 16. Fernandez S. 8. Flores F. 6. Lujan J. 29. Molina J. 23. Munoz A. 20. Perez J. 95. Prieto D. (G) 77. Valladolid C.
27. Barrios K. 16. Chavez A. 77. Espinoza Vega F. E. 14. Guevara B. 30. Kaufman M. 7. Ospina J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 24. Rizzo G. 13. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.
Paolella W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, del Castillo J. ⚽, Diaz G. (A),
21', Torres M. ↓, Espinoza Vega F. E. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, Perleche E. ⚽,
49', Palomino J. 🟨,
61', Campos A. ↓, Ospina J. ↑,
62', Gonzales D. ↓, Kaufman M. ↑,
72', Perleche E. 🟨,
74', 3 - 0, Larios Saavedra G. A. ⚽, Gordillo A. (A),
77', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
77', Ingratti J. ↓, Molina J. ↑,
77', Penilla C. ↓, Barreda M. ↑,
80', Quintana A. ↓, Rizzo G. ↑,
80', Palomino J. ↓, Guevara B. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Quintero J. ⚽,
82', Lupu H. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
82', Suarez R. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
90+1', Sanchez K. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 3.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
In this match, Alianza Atlético is the team to beat.
There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F.
(Knee Injury)
We predict that Alianza Atlético will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 2:0).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Los Chankas
13
3
3
7
14:29
-15
12
Last Results with these Odds
Alianza Atlético - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.24%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.