Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Los Chankas (Andahuaylas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Los Chankas		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.85	Watch
	1.9	3.75	4.27
	2.19	3.26	3.34	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.6
	1.94	3.5	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.72)	3.48 ↓ (3.74)	3.8 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Los Chankas
48.2%

Draw
27%

Cajamarca
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.9%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

22.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Chankas's form might have worsened.

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Los Chankas - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: Los Chankas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 24. Rizzo G. 2. Gonzalez H. 33. Pimienta C. 14. Guevara B. 5. Palomino J. 10. Torres F. 17. Velarde C. 11. Quintero J. 20. Torres M.	29. Barrios I. (C) 17. Garro L. 2. Duarte B. 6. Cavagna F. 5. Huerto J. 19. Munoz A. 8. Dioses D. 10. Lliuya M. 15. Cantt J. 11. Arroyo A. 9. de Jesus M.
Substitutes
6. Ayarza A. 27. Barrios K. 77. Espinoza Vega F. E. 26. Gonzales D. 30. Kaufman M. 7. Ospina J. 89. Posito J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 15. Sanchez K.	21. Bettocchi R. (G) 18. Galvez S. 3. Ganoza M. 7. Nunez J. 35. Paredes G.
Coaches
Paolella W.	Paulucci C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
19', Pimienta C. 🟨,
38', de Jesus M. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
43', Velarde C. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
45+4', Cantt J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Dioses D. ↓, Ganoza M. ↑,
46', Arroyo A. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
65', Velarde C. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
65', Quintero J. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
70', Guevara B. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
78', Nunez J. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Nunez J. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
84', 2 - 2, Huerto J. ⚽, Nunez J. (A),
90+1', Pimienta C. ↓, Espinoza Vega F. E. ↑,
90+1', Ayarza A. ↓, Posito J. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 and 14).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Los Chankas is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cajamarca: Camacho D. (Red Card) Campos A. (Face Injury) Figuera A. (Yellow Cards) Rasmussen M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cajamarca: Medina J. (Broken Hand)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Los Chankas	11	2	3	6	11:24	-13	9
18	Cajamarca	10	0	2	8	11:24	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
23.05.26	Alianza Lima - Los Chankas	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	Los Chankas - Moquegua	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Cusco - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	ADT Tarma - Los Chankas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTLL
- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
23.05.26	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Cajamarca - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	FBC Melgar - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Cajamarca - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
29.09.25	Cajamarca - Los Chankas	2:0
11.05.25	Los Chankas - Cajamarca	2:1
19.09.24	Los Chankas - Cajamarca	1:1
15.04.24	Cajamarca - Los Chankas	2:0

Upcoming Matches