Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Referee: Zamora J. (Per)


	Alianza Atlético		Unión Comercio

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	6	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.68	3.65	5.3	Watch
	1.63	3.65	5.72
	1.63	3.62	5.72
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.66	3.6	4.95	Watch
	1.64	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	3.58 ↑ (3.46)	5.36 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
56.8%

Draw
25.9%

Unión Comercio
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.9%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

26.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Alianza Atlético - Unión Comercio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melian D. (G) 30. Perleche A. 4. Villegas J. C. 13. Benincasa H. 21. Milesi A. 26. Lupu H. 8. Illanes F. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 7. Castro R. 23. Siucho Neira R. 9. Fernandez A.	1. Barrios I. (G) 4. Perez V. 2. Salas J. 3. Paredes T. 27. Trujillo L. 19. Uribe C. 30. Torres J. 10. Hernan Perez 17. Vargas D. 14. Regalado I. 29. Zeta H.
Substitutes
17. Arakaki H. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 55. Duclos F. 10. Flores C. 22. Larios Saavedra G. A. 95. Prieto D. (G) 18. Rebagliati S. 2. Tovo E. 3. Vasquez C.	13. Angulo Grueso B. A. 18. Carhualllanqui J. 7. Carranza M. 12. Diaz W. (G) 24. Javier Navea 15. Jimenez O. 20. Ramirez C.
Coaches
Espejo J.	Garcia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Canela Torres J. J. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Lupu H. ⚽,
33', Salas J. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Fernandez A. (Pen),
41', Torres J. 🟨,
45', Uribe C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Salas J. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
46', Perez V. ↓, Jimenez O. ↑,
46', Torres J. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
58', Fernandez A. 🟨,
58', Fernandez A. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
66', Zeta H. ↓, Angulo Grueso B. A. ↑,
71', Castro R. ↓, Arias Fierro S. D. ↑,
71', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Arakaki H. ↑,
76', Uribe C. ↓, Javier Navea ↑,
88', Benincasa H. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Alianza Atlético could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alianza Atlético is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.24	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Sport Boys - Alianza Atlético	0:0 ✺
14.03.24	Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
07.03.24	Cusco - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
29.02.24	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTLW
- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 1
06.04.24	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
29.03.24	Cusco - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Unión Comercio - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:4 ✺
10.03.24	Sport Huancayo - Unión Comercio	2:2 ✺
04.03.24	Unión Comercio - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.08.23	Alianza Atlético - Unión Comercio	2:2
02.04.23	Unión Comercio - Alianza Atlético	3:3
Peruvian Liga 2
07.12.20	Unión Comercio - Alianza Atlético	1:1
Peruvian Liga 1
10.09.17	Unión Comercio - Alianza Atlético	1:2
03.06.17	Alianza Atlético - Unión Comercio	1:3
13.05.17	Alianza Atlético - Unión Comercio	1:2
08.03.17	Unión Comercio - Alianza Atlético	5:0

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