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Current Win Probability
Alianza Atlético 57.4%
Draw 24%
Deportivo Garcilaso 18.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.6%
26.4%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.5%
25.4%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Atlético's performance.
Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Garcilaso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Atlético that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 21. Perleche E. 2. Suarez R. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. 10. Diaz G. 37. Delgado J. 15. Lupu H. (C) 27. Ingratti J. 23. Munoz A. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A.
1. Zubczuk P. (C) 35. Mendoza J. 2. Salazar A. 19. Gomez A. 20. Rosell Delgado J. A. 14. Torrejon C. 24. Olivares C. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 8. Gonzalez A. 30. Da Silva B. 9. Castelli F.
Substitutes
22. del Castillo J. 16. Fernandez S. 25. Guzman W. 19. Mendieta J. 29. Molina J. 17. Penilla C. 20. Perez J. 95. Prieto D. (G) 9. Robaldo V.
27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 6. Flores C. M. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 7. Rios L. 33. Villacorta S.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.
Greppo L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ingratti J. ⚽, Larios Saavedra G. A. (A),
13', Castelli F. 🟨,
15', 2 - 0, Larios Saavedra G. A. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Delgado J. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Munoz A. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
46', Da Silva B. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
50', Salazar A. 🟨,
61', Castelli F. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
61', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Ramirez S. ⚽, Ascues A. (A),
70', Perleche E. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
80', Ingratti J. ↓, Molina J. ↑,
80', Diaz G. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
80', Torrejon C. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Olivares C. ⚽, Ascues A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 4.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Deportivo Garcilaso may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Alianza Atlético is considered the favorite to take the win.
Doubtful / questionable for Alianza Atlético: Villegas J. C.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atlético has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:7 (averaging 2:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza Atlético against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Deportivo Garcilaso
14
8
1
5
26:15
11
25
Outrights of Peruvian Liga 1 for now
Deportivo Garcilaso: 2.35% Alianza Atl.: 2.35%
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Garcilaso - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 24.03%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Peru
Usa
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Rivadeneyra S. (G) 
Suarez R. 
Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 
Gonzalez A. 
Molina J. 
Penilla C. 
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