The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Deportes 69.3%
Draw 20.1%
Alianza Atlético 10.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.1%
19.3%
10.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.3%
18.5%
10.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
The chances for Alianza Atlético have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
10%
20%
Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Vargas M. (G) 29. Corzo A. (C) 3. Riveros W. 4. Santamaria A. 24. Polo A. 10. Calcaterra H. 6. Castillo J. 17. Concha J. 33. Inga C. 19. Flores E. 20. Valera A.
95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Perleche E. 2. Suarez R. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. (C) 22. del Castillo J. 10. Diaz G. 8. Flores F. 20. Perez J. 9. Robaldo V. 7. Coronel F.
Substitutes
26. Ancajima H. 27. Carabali J. 8. Fertoli H. 99. Miguel Silveira 23. Murrugarra J. 16. Perez Guedes M. 77. Reyna B. 11. Rivera J. 1. Romero D. (G)
37. Delgado J. 16. Fernandez S. 25. Guzman W. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 15. Lupu H. 19. Mendieta J. 17. Penilla C. 77. Valladolid C.
Coaches
Araujo J.
Urciuoli F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Santamaria A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Robaldo V. ⚽, Flores F. (A),
51', 1 - 1, Flores E. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Robaldo V. ⚽, Coronel F. (A),
57', Calcaterra H. ↓, Perez Guedes M. ↑,
57', Inga C. ↓, Carabali J. ↑,
60', Robaldo V. 🟨,
66', Flores F. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
66', del Castillo J. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
66', Gordillo A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
70', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
70', Castillo J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
75', Corzo A. ↓, Ancajima H. ↑,
78', Prieto D. 🟨,
78', Suarez R. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
86', Perez J. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 4.
Recent performances by Uni de Deportes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Alianza Atlético has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Uni de Deportes is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Alzugaray L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Perez Guedes M.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Villegas J. C.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:19. (average 2.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:7. (average 2:0.7).
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Vargas M. (G) 
Corzo A. (C) 
Riveros W. 
Suarez R. 
Carabali J. 
Miguel Silveira 
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