Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Referee: Cori V. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Atlético		Escuela Municipal Binacional

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	8	Watch
	1.47	4.2	7	Watch
	1.44	4.13	7.75
	1.46	4.03	7.64	Watch
	1.44	4	7
	1.43	4.04	8.07	Watch
	1.47	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.6)	4.09 ↑ (3.94)	7.49 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
64.6%

Draw
22.9%

Escuela Municipal Binacional
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Atlético's performance.

Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escuela Municipal Binacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alianza Atlético - Escuela Municipal Binacional Predictions

Users Predictions: Alianza Atlético will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melian D. (C) 4. Villegas J. C. 3. Vasquez C. 23. Olmedo L. 21. Perleche E. 13. Benincasa H. 9. Espinoza Torres R. 22. Ysique F. 7. Castro R. 10. Canela Torres J. J. 29. Graneros A.	21. Azurin A. (C) 28. Chavez E. 4. Timana H. 2. Rodriguez N. 11. Chavez D. 6. Duque L. 25. Meza C. 7. Carranza J. 10. Torres R. 27. Aguinaga A. 33. Leyes G.
Substitutes
2. Cossio A. 17. del Castillo J. 30. Guzman P. 8. Illanes F. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 15. Lupu H. 20. Perez J. 19. Perez M. 95. Prieto D. (G)	17. Crespo H. 18. Figueroa N. 22. Flores F. 13. Gutierrez A. 23. Magallanes A. 1. Montalvo D. (G) 38. Perez C. 20. Torres M.
Coaches
Ameli G.	Torres E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Graneros A. ⚽, Perleche E. (A),
9', Perleche E. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
13', Canela Torres J. J. 🟥,
23', 2 - 0, Espinoza Torres R. ⚽, Olmedo L. (A),
35', Timana H. 🟥,
39', Chavez D. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
39', Duque L. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,
40', Torres R. ↓, Crespo H. ↑,
40', Meza C. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
42', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Gutierrez A. ⚽, Leyes G. (A),
63', Graneros A. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
63', Ysique F. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Perez M. ⚽,
83', Leyes G. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
84', 4 - 1, Larios Saavedra G. A. ⚽, Olmedo L. (A),
87', Olmedo L. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,

Preview

In this match Alianza Atlético is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Vilchez Y. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
23.02.25	FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima	3:1 ✺
07.02.25	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Atlético	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Atlético	2:2 ✺
28.10.24	Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWLTW
- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 1
24.02.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cusco	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Cajamarca - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:4 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
07.09.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Carlos Stein	5:1 ✺
01.09.24	Universidad San Martín - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Moquegua - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.09.23	Alianza Atlético - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0
30.04.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Atlético	4:2
05.09.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Atlético	2:0
15.04.22	Alianza Atlético - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0
04.08.21	Alianza Atlético - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:3

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