The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Atlético 59.6%
Draw 25.7%
Moquegua 14.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.1%
26.6%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
25.6%
14.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
The ML Model estimate for Moquegua aligns with the current prediction.
Alianza Atlético - Moquegua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Perleche E. 6. Lujan J. 25. Guzman W. 24. Gordillo A. 10. Diaz G. 15. Lupu H. (C) 23. Munoz A. 8. Flores F. 7. Coronel F. 17. Penilla C.
1. Grados C. (G) 4. Perleche A. 13. Lojas J. (C) 3. Enciso C. 15. Amasifuen N. 7. Lastre E. 20. Ramirez D. 25. Chipao R. 16. Davila A. 17. Zapata Y. 90. Collazos J.
Substitutes
14. Alburqueque L. 22. del Castillo J. 37. Delgado J. 16. Fernandez S. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 19. Mendieta J. 20. Perez J. 9. Robaldo V.
11. Bryan Angulo 10. Chavez N. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 30. Granda J. 6. Jimenez J. 28. Lopez J. 8. Mejia C. 22. Montenegro E. 14. Ramirez C.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.
Serna J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Munoz A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Coronel F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Ramirez D. ↓, Chavez N. ↑,
57', Lastre E. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
61', Collazos J. ↓, Bryan Angulo ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Flores F. ⚽,
71', Coronel F. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Perez J. ⚽,
80', Davila A. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
80', Zapata Y. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
85', Lupu H. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
85', Diaz G. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
86', Flores F. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Moquegua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Alianza Atlético is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Suarez R.
(Red Card)
Villegas J. C.
(Red Card)