Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua)


	Moquegua		Deportivo Garcilaso

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.90	2.70
	2.39	2.98	3.00
	2.44	3.01	3.04	Watch
	2.35	2.75	2.95
	2.29	3.22	3.12	Watch
	2.31	2.95	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.55)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	2.95 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
38.3%

Draw
30.8%

Deportivo Garcilaso
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

28.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Garcilaso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Garcilaso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Figueroa R. (G) 15. Amasifuen N. 16. Davila A. 30. Granda J. 6. Jimenez J. 13. Lojas J. 8. Mejia C. 22. Montenegro E. 9. Negron M. 20. Ramirez D. 17. Zapata Y.	1. Zubczuk P. (G) 11. Arancibia F. 55. Canales E. 19. Gomez A. 23. Moreno X. 24. Olivares C. 13. Olivera M. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 14. Torrejon C.
Substitutes
5. Agreda J. 11. Bryan Angulo 10. Chavez N. 25. Chipao R. 90. Collazos J. 7. Lastre E. 14. Ramirez C. 28. Rojas B. 99. Sandoval H.	27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) . Flores 35. Mendoza J. . Rios L. 2. Salazar A. 33. Villacorta S. . Zela

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Negron M. 🟨,
10', Ramirez S. 🟨,
15', Lojas J. 🟨,
27', Moreno X. 🟨,
42', Mejia C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Negron M. ↓, Rojas B. ↑,
46', Montenegro E. ↓, Bryan Angulo ↑,
46', Torrejon C. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
46', Olivera M. ↓, Flores C. M. ↑,
54', Jimenez J. 🟨,
66', Davila A. ↓, Chavez N. ↑,
70', Lojas J. ↓, Chipao R. ↑,
78', Arancibia F. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
78', Ramirez S. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
86', Salazar A. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Chavez N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Olivares C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Bryan Angulo (Penalty Awarded),
3, Canales E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Zapata Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Rios L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Amasifuen N. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moquegua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Moquegua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
29.06.26	FBC Melgar - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Moquegua - Bentín Tacna Heroica	3:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
29.05.26	Atlético Grau - Moquegua	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Moquegua - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Los Chankas - Moquegua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLTL
- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
29.06.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Escuela Municipal Binacional	4:1 ✺
21.06.26	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Juan Pablo II College	4:1 ✺
25.05.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
23.02.26	Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0

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