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Current Win Probability
Sporting Cristal 52.1%
Draw 27.7%
Alianza Atlético 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.3%
21.8%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.6%
21.4%
12.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Atlético's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 32. Diaz L. 90. Cristiano 19. Yotun Y. (C) 26. Wisdom I. 55. Cazonatti G. 16. Iberico L. 11. Avila I. 10. Gonzales C.
95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Perleche E. 2. Suarez R. 4. Villegas J. C. 24. Gordillo A. 16. Fernandez S. (C) 23. Munoz A. 77. Valladolid C. 10. Diaz G. 17. Penilla C. 9. Robaldo V.
Substitutes
33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 27. Gabriel 18. Gonzalez J. 37. Lora F. 28. Otoya D. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 25. Tavara M. 9. Vizeu F.
7. Coronel F. 8. Flores F. 25. Guzman W. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 6. Lujan J. 15. Lupu H. 19. Mendieta J. 20. Perez J.
Coaches
Autuori P.
Urciuoli F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Iberico L. ⚽, Sosa L. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Avila I. ⚽, Wisdom I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Robaldo V. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
46', Valladolid C. ↓, Coronel F. ↑,
54', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
57', Yotun Y. 🟨,
57', Suarez R. 🟨,
58', Diaz G. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
67', Fernandez S. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
72', Gonzales C. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
73', Yotun Y. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
79', Penilla C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
81', Avila I. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
81', Diaz L. ↓, Posito Olazabal A. J. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Coronel F. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
85', Cazonatti G. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
89', Suarez R. 🟨,
90+2', Munoz A. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 1, Wisdom I. ⚽,
90+9', Tavara M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sporting Cristal is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Abram L.
(Muscle Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:10. (average 2.3:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:5. (average 2.9:0.6).
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Enriquez D. (G) 
Sosa L. 
Cristiano 
Suarez R. 
Penilla C. 
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