Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	19:00	Disney+, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Australia	08:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	19:00	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	18:00	beIN Connect
Colombia	17:00	ESPN
Indonesia	05:00	Mola TV
Israel	01:00	Sport 1
Italy	00:00	Como TV
Mexico	16:00	Disney+
Peru	17:00	ESPN
Russia	01:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ESPN 5 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	00:00	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Usa	18:00	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	18:00	ESPN, Inter
International	22:00	Disney+, Pluto TV


	Alianza Lima		Talleres de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.5	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.87
	3	2.85	2.65	Watch
	3.17	2.92	2.62
	3.15	2.85	2.62	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.9	Watch
	3.2	2.87	2.63	Watch
	3	2.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.31)	2.89 ↓ (3.2)	2.68 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
32%

Draw
32.7%

Talleres de Córdoba
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

29.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Lima's form might have worsened.

Talleres de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talleres de Córdoba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Lima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talleres de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talleres de Córdoba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Alianza Lima - Talleres de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Talleres will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Viscarra G. (G) 22. Enrique G. 5. Zambrano C. 6. Garces R. 21. Trauco M. 8. Castillo E. 4. Noriega E. 20. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 27. Quevedo K. 7. Gaibor F. 34. Paolo Guerrero	22. Herrera G. (C) 20. Schott A. 44. Fernandez S. 16. Navarro M. 15. Riveros B. 17. Mosqueira J. 27. Portilla J. 30. Ortegoza U. 11. Depietri V. 33. Reynoso E. 9. Girotti F.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre G. 9. Barcos H. 1. Campos A. (G) 51. Cari P. 15. Castillo J. 11. D'Arrigo J. 37. Delgado J. 14. Huaman M. 13. Lagos R. 24. Soyer B. 16. Succar M. 35. Velasquez J.	29. Benavidez G. 1. Burrai J. (G) 7. Bustos N. 3. Cardona T. 36. Chiavassa E. 19. Galarza M. 21. Gomez M. 34. Palacios S. 28. Portillo J. 39. Puzzo S. 77. Rick 25. Tarragona C.
Coaches
Gorosito N.	Guinazu P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Paolo Guerrero ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Portilla J. ↓, Rick ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Quevedo K. (A),
58', Reynoso E. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Girotti F. (Pen),
69', 2 - 2, Girotti F. ⚽, Riveros B. (A),
70', Girotti F. 🟨,
72', Zambrano C. 🟨,
72', Navarro M. 🟨,
80', Enrique G. 🟨,
82', Quevedo K. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
82', Zambrano C. 🟨,
83', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
88', Rick 🟨,
90+2', Schott A. ↓, Benavidez G. ↑,
90+2', Depietri V. ↓, Palacios S. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Barcos H. ⚽, Lavandeira Hernandez P. (A),
90+8', Castillo E. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Alianza Lima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Talleres is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J. (Injury) Cantero A. (Muscle Injury) Ceppelini P. (Muscle Injury) Enrique G. (Injury)

There will not play in Talleres: Botta R. (Muscle Injury) Catalan M. (Knee Injury) Portillo J. (Ankle Injury) Portillo M. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
18.04.25	Alianza Lima - Los Chankas	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.25	São Paulo - Alianza Lima	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.25	Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Alianza Lima - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTTL
- Talleres de Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	River Plate - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Libertad Asuncion - Talleres de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Talleres de Córdoba - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWL

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