Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
South-america	ESPN South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+


	Libertad Asuncion		Talleres de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.87
	2.55	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.51	2.96	3.19	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.54	2.97	3.22	Watch
	2.55	2.88	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.61)	2.92 ↓ (3.21)	3.07 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
37%

Draw
32.3%

Talleres de Córdoba
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.6%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Talleres de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talleres de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	31.2%	18.7%

Libertad Asuncion - Talleres de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Talleres will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 3 - 60%). Talleres (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Talleres (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 3 - 50%). Talleres (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Ramirez I. 5. Viera D. 31. Gutierrez T. 4. Gimenez N. 18. Franco I. 26. Caballero H. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. 10. Melgarejo L. 28. Fernandez M. 24. Santa C. R.	22. Herrera G. (C) 29. Benavidez G. 44. Fernandez S. 16. Navarro M. 15. Riveros B. 30. Ortegoza U. 27. Portilla J. 33. Reynoso E. 19. Galarza M. 7. Bustos N. 25. Tarragona C.
Substitutes
11. Aguilar G. 20. Alcaraz A. 3. Caceres M. 6. Campuzano A. 7. Cardozo O. 14. Fretes A. 33. Guinazu L. 27. Jacquet M. 21. Sanabria L. 1. Silva M. (G) 35. Troche A. 32. Villalba R.	1. Burrai J. (G) 36. Chiavassa E. 11. Depietri V. 9. Girotti F. 21. Gomez M. 17. Mosqueira J. 41. Olmos T. 34. Palacios S. 26. Portillo M. 39. Puzzo S. 20. Schott A. 47. Suarez E.
Coaches
Aquino S.	Guinazu P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Franco I. ⚽, Melgarejo L. (A),
19', Gimenez N. 🟨,
21', Bustos N. 🟨,
34', Fernandez M. 🟨,
34', Navarro M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
46', Tarragona C. ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
57', Melgarejo L. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
57', Santa C. R. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Alcaraz A. ⚽, Gutierrez T. (A),
65', Galarza M. ↓, Palacios S. ↑,
65', Ortegoza U. ↓, Portillo M. ↑,
65', Bustos N. ↓, Depietri V. ↑,
72', Fernandez M. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
74', Franco I. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
84', Reynoso E. ↓, Chiavassa E. ↑,
88', Campuzano A. 🟨,
90+3', Aguilar G. 🟨,
90+3', Palacios S. 🟨,

Preview

Libertad in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Talleres is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Talleres: Cardona T. (Inactive) Catalan M. (Knee Injury) Galarza M. A. (Injury) Rodriguez J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Talleres: Rick (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.04.25	Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Alianza Lima - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.03.25	Libertad Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	General Caballero JLM - Libertad Asuncion	0:5 ✺
15.03.25	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTWW
- Talleres de Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Talleres de Córdoba - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.03.25	Belgrano - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Godoy Cruz - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.03.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Deportivo Armenio	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTTL

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