Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 9

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.92	3.2	2.45	Watch
	3.07	3.1	2.46
	3.07	3.02	2.46
	2.8	3.1	2.38
	2.95	3.2	2.39	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.78)	3.12 ↓ (3.39)	2.41 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
31.9%

Draw
29.7%

Universitario de Deportes
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

27.5%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

26.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad César Vallejo's performance.

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad César Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Universidad César Vallejo - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. César Vallejo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 1.

Recent matches César Vallejo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universitario de Deportes is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-26.

Including matches at home between the teams César Vallejo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
14.03.24	Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Sport Boys - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.03.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Huancayo	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.03.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Cusco	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWTL
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
12.03.24	Universitario de Deportes - Cusco	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes	2:2 ✺
01.03.24	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Huancayo	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.01.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Universitario de Deportes	0:0
Peruvian Liga 1
28.09.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Universitario de Deportes	0:1
19.05.23	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad César Vallejo	4:0
Club Friendly
04.01.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Universitario de Deportes	0:2
Peruvian Liga 1
27.07.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Universitario de Deportes	1:0
27.02.22	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad César Vallejo	3:0
03.10.21	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad César Vallejo	3:0

Upcoming Matches