Match Info
LPF - Clausura - Round 6Date: 30 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Agustín Muquita Sánchez (La Chorrera)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Independiente de la Chorrera |
|
Alianza Panama |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
2.95 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.98 |
2.98 |
3.75 |
|
 |
2.04 |
3 |
4.01 |
|
 |
2.06 |
3.32 |
3.48 |
 Watch |
 |
2.03 |
3.39 |
3.54 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.96) |
3.13 ↓
(3.51) |
3.68 ↑
(3.23) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Independiente de la Chorrera
45.7% | Draw
29.4% | Alianza Panama
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente de la Chorrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Alianza Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (+2.5%)Independiente de la Chorrera - Alianza Panama Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
#ad
Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
| 30.  Melgar K. (G)
|
| 28. Alvarado J.
|
| 17. Asprilla J.
|
| 45. Campos O.
|
| 10. Diaz A.
|
| 15. Galvez A.
|
| 7. Guardia H.
|
| 2. Machado A. (C)
|
| 18. Perdomo R.
|
| 8. Rangel G.
|
| 23. Rodriguez R.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
| 14. Berguido R.
|
| 19. Diaz M.
|
| 9. Espinoza I.
|
| 1.  Gonzalez J. (G)
|
| 20. Herrera R.
|
| 25. McClymont R.
|
| 16. Mitre R.
|
| 12. Spencer D.
|
| 11. Verley R.
|
| 6. Wright D.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Altamirano A. ⚽,
- 8', 2 - 0, Davis O. ⚽,
- 10', 2 - 1, Perdomo R. ⚽,
- 12', 2 - 2, Perdomo R. ⚽,
- 23', Galvez A. ↓, Mitre R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Altamirano A. ↓, Bonilla K. ↑,
- 57', Diaz A. ↓, Spencer D. ↑,
- 57', Guardia H. ↓, Berguido R. ↑,
- 57', Campos O. ↓, Verley R. ↑,
- 61', Caicedo A. ↓, Berrocal O. ↑,
- 75', Avila V. ↓, Fields L. ↑,
- 78', Rangel G. ↓, Espinoza I. ↑,
- 82', Avila M. 🟨,
- 89', Valverde A. ↓, Narvaez J. ↑,
- 89', Aguila R. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 90+4', Mitre R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Independiente will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Alianza Panama - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.03%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Liga Panamena de Futbol | | | 27.02.25 | Alianza Panama - Independiente de la Chorrera | 1:1 | | 08.09.24 | Alianza Panama - Independiente de la Chorrera | 1:0 | | 09.03.24 | Independiente de la Chorrera - Alianza Panama | 5:1 | | 16.09.23 | Independiente de la Chorrera - Alianza Panama | 1:1 | | 11.03.23 | Alianza Panama - Independiente de la Chorrera | 0:1 | | 17.09.22 | Alianza Panama - Independiente de la Chorrera | 0:1 | | 02.04.22 | Independiente de la Chorrera - Alianza Panama | 1:2 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
