Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO, Tigo Sports


	Inter FA		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.05	1.92
	3.9	3.11	2.03
	3.82	3.19	2.02	Watch
	3.7	2.9	2
	3.74	3.04	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.29)	3.06 ↓ (3.18)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter FA
24.2%

Draw
29.9%

Alianza San Miguel
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

28.5%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

28.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter FA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter FA than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Inter FA - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Stradella G. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Grueso J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Inter FA has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alianza is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Inter FA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alianza could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Inter FA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Inter FA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alianza FC	13	4	6	3	20:19	1	18

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza San Miguel - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.86%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter FA
El Salvador Copa Presidente
11.03.26	Talleres Juniors - Inter FA	1:3 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
07.03.26	Inter FA - Zacatecoluca	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Municipal Limeño - Inter FA	2:1 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
26.02.26	Inter FA - Isidro Metapán	1:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
21.02.26	Inter FA - Águila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLTL
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
07.03.26	Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Zacatecoluca - Alianza San Miguel	0:2 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
24.02.26	Batanecos - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
21.02.26	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
28.01.26	Alianza San Miguel - Inter FA	1:3
21.09.25	Inter FA - Alianza San Miguel	0:1

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