The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 48.3%
Draw 27%
Juan Pablo II College 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
26.9%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
25.8%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's performance.
Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo II College might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Universidad de Huánuco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo II College could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Pablo II College Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Universidad (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 28. Perleche A. 33. Otavio Gut 29. Escobar J. 14. Guevara B. 22. Campodonico R. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 38. Sernaque J. 8. Lliuya M. 66. Fuentes P. 17. Mena Y.
23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 25. Alfani R. (C) 6. Flores C. 18. Loyola N. 39. Affonso M. 21. Vega J. 11. Aliaga R. 77. Rasmussen M. 26. Agurto F. 10. Tizon C.
Substitutes
3. Ampuero A. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 18. Fernandez A. 12. Figueroa E. (G) 13. Gonzales A. 6. Ibarguen J. 26. Iraola G. 19. Mendieta J. 15. Ramirez N.
16. Canova J. 7. Fernandez R. 12. Quispe I. (G) 32. Ramirez C. 13. Rodriguez N. 37. Rojas A. 3. Sanchez A. 30. Soto J. 9. Villar E.
Coaches
Mosquera R.
Acasiete S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
30', Vega J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Campodonico R. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Sernaque J. ⚽, Campodonico R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Aliaga R. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
46', Affonso M. ↓, Villar E. ↑,
46', Rasmussen M. ↓, Canova J. ↑,
46', Loyola N. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
61', Sernaque J. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
70', Campodonico R. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
71', Flores C. 🟨,
81', 3 - 0, Lliuya M. ⚽, Mena Y. (A),
82', Vega J. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
83', Guevara B. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
90+1', Escobar J. 🟨,
90+3', 🟥,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 15).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Juan Pablo II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Alianza Universidad could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Fernandez F.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
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Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 
Otavio Gut 
Escobar J. 
Vasquez Ortega E. O. 
Vega M. (G) 
Affonso M. 
Ramirez C. 
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