Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de la Juventud (Chongoyape)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Juan Pablo II College		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.92	3.4	3.85	Watch
	1.92	3.54	4.05
	1.94	3.43	3.91	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.9
	1.91	3.31	4.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	3.99 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo II College
48.8%

Draw
27.7%

Comerciantes Unidos
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

27.2%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 24. Iriarte I. 3. Sanchez A. 26. Agurto F. 18. Ramirez E. 50. Alaniz M. 28. Duran J. 29. Tizon C. 39. Juambeltz M. 10. Cueva C. (C)	17. Cordova M. (G) 40. Alcedo F. 30. Guzman P. 6. Rodriguez J. 16. F. Rojas 4. Arias A. 18. Rodriguez A. 25. Vilca R. 15. Cossio A. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 9. Sen M. (C)
Substitutes
11. Aliaga R. 16. Anton P. 80. Barreto J. 20. Bazan H. 30. Canova J. 8. Flores C. 7. Henricks A. 22. Peralta M. 12. Quispe I. (G)	8. Ayovi W. 7. Carranza M. 99. Charun J. (G) 5. Correa Flores C. A. 11. Herrera J. 19. Lino D. 50. Olivares J. 20. Parodi J. 14. Salinas T.
Coaches
Zuleta M.	Mur A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Iriarte I. ⚽, Alaniz M. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Perez Azambuya E. M. ⚽, Cossio A. (A),
31', 2 - 1, Tizon C. ⚽, Ramirez E. (A),
32', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
38', Toledo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Agurto F. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
61', Alcedo F. ↓, Ayovi W. ↑,
68', F. Rojas ↓, Parodi J. ↑,
74', Rodriguez A. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
74', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Olivares J. ↑,
80', Juambeltz M. ↓, Bazan H. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Salinas T. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
86', Duran J. ↓, Flores C. ↑,
90+6', Alaniz M. ↓, Anton P. ↑,
90+7', Toledo J. ↓, Aliaga R. ↑,
90+7', Cueva C. ↓, Henricks A. ↑,
90+7', Vilca R. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
90+8', Flores C. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Juan Pablo II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Juan Pablo II is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Juan Pablo II: Fuentes P. (Red Card)

There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Vilchez Y. (Red Card)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Juan Pablo II	11	5	4	2	21:13	8	19
14	Comerciantes Unidos	11	2	4	5	18:19	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
14.04.26	Moquegua - Juan Pablo II College	3:0 ✺
05.04.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Alianza Lima - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Juan Pablo II College - Los Chankas	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLLW
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.26	Sport Huancayo - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	3:4 ✺
07.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Atlético Grau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
24.10.25	Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1
22.06.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Pablo II College	3:0

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