The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cajamarca 43.1%
Draw 28.1%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
27.5%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
26.5%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
Cajamarca - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Campos D. (G) 17. Garro L. 27. Serra P. 3. Rugel L. 7. Ibarguen Y. 13. Oncoy F. 16. Villamarin R. 26. Vega J. 8. Mejia C. 19. Palacios B. 11. Quintero J. (C)
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 33. Otavio Gut 66. Fuentes P. 28. Perleche A. 14. Guevara B. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 29. Escobar J. 88. Aubert E. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 8. Lliuya M. 17. Mena Y. (C)
Substitutes
5. Aguirre J. 14. Alvarez L. 15. Cantt J. 28. De la Cruz L. 12. Heredia M. (G) 6. Lujan J. 10. Ramirez E. 25. Rosell Delgado J. A. 20. Vasquez A.
3. Ampuero A. 22. Campodonico R. 18. Fernandez A. 26. Iraola G. 9. Martinez D. 19. Mendieta J. 15. Ramirez N. 38. Sernaque J. 1. Ynamine P. (G)
Coaches
Lisi H.
Mosquera R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽, Guevara B. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Mena Y. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Villamarin R. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
46', Rugel L. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
46', Palacios B. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
53', Guevara B. 🟨,
58', Oncoy F. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
64', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Quintero J. (Pen),
75', Ibarguen Y. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
78', Guevara B. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
79', Aubert E. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑,
84', Perleche A. 🟨,
85', Fuentes P. 🟨,
87', Lliuya M. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Quintero J. (Pen),
90+5', Lliuya M. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
90+6', Escobar J. ↓, Ampuero A. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 2, Vega J. ⚽, Ramirez E. (A),
90+9', Lujan J. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 3.
Cajamarca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Alianza Universidad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cajamarca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Mexico
Peru
Usa
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Campos D. (G) 
Ibarguen Y. 
Vega J. 
Otavio Gut 
Escobar J. 
Martinez D. 
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