Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de la Juventud (Chongoyape)

Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Juan Pablo II College		Deportivo Garcilaso

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.65	Watch
	2.02	3.3	3.89
	2.22	2.96	3.55	Watch
	2.01	3.38	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.22)	3.25 ↓ (3.28)	3.68 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo II College
45.7%

Draw
28.8%

Deportivo Garcilaso
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo II College has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Juan Pablo II College - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juan Pablo II: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Juan Pablo II (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 25. Alfani R. 3. Sanchez A. 26. Agurto F. 6. Flores C. 32. Ramirez C. 7. Fernandez R. 37. Rojas A. 10. Tizon C. 9. Villar E.	1. Zubczuk P. (G) 55. Canales E. 2. Salazar A. 13. Lojas J. (C) 18. Nunez O. 16. Beltran C. 22. Portales J. 8. Gomez N. 10. Sandoval K. 19. Naya E. 11. Erustes P.
Substitutes
39. Affonso M. 11. Aliaga R. 16. Canova J. 5. Peralta M. 77. Rasmussen M. 13. Rodriguez N. 30. Soto J. 1. Stucchi J. (G) 21. Vega J.	31. Barbieri J. (G) 7. Bazan J. 26. Celi Y. 14. Gallardo J. 23. Moreno X. 25. Paucar E. 38. Sinisterra J. 28. Valer J. F.
Coaches
Acasiete S.	Bustos C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Salazar A. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
16', Flores C. 🟨,
44', Tizon C. 🟨,
45+5', Gomez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Acasiete S. 🟨,
62', Villar E. 🟨,
64', Villar E. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
71', Naya E. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
75', Ramirez C. ↓, Affonso M. ↑,
80', Moreno X. 🟨,
81', Sandoval K. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
81', Gomez N. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Erustes P. ⚽, Sinisterra J. (A),
89', Agurto F. ↓, Canova J. ↑,
89', Rojas A. ↓, Aliaga R. ↑,
90+4', Canova J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Juan Pablo II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Arancibia F. (Broken collarbone)

There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Fernandez F. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
05.10.25	Universitario de Deportes - Juan Pablo II College	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Juan Pablo II College - Sporting Cristal	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Alianza Atlético - Juan Pablo II College	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTLTW
- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
05.10.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético	2:4 ✺
30.09.25	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	4:0 ✺
25.09.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
18.09.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
25.05.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Juan Pablo II College	4:0

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