The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 26.3%
Draw 27.2%
Alianza Lima 46.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
28.1%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
27.8%
44.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Alianza Lima (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alianza Lima will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 66. Fuentes P. 19. Mendieta J. 33. Otavio Gut 7. Gomez A. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 5. Ascues C. 29. Escobar J. 8. Lliuya M. 22. Campodonico R. 17. Mena Y. (C)
23. Viscarra G. (G) 22. Enrique G. 19. Cantero A. 5. Zambrano C. 21. Trauco M. 6. Garces R. 55. Aquino P. 27. Quevedo K. 18. Pena S. 8. Castillo E. 9. Barcos H.
Substitutes
3. Ampuero A. 23. Barco J. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 26. Iraola G. 9. Martinez D. 15. Ramirez N. 24. Saffadi D. 38. Sernaque J. 1. Ynamine P. (G)
29. Arias B. 1. Campos A. (G) 15. Castillo J. 10. Ceppelini P. 3. Estrada J. 7. Gaibor F. 25. Gentile G. 14. Huaman M. 34. Paolo Guerrero
Coaches
Mosquera R.
Gorosito N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽, Mena Y. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Pena S. (A),
38', Gomez A. 🟨,
41', Mena Y. 🟨,
43', Campodonico R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Campodonico R. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
51', Iraola G. 🟨,
53', Escobar J. 🟨,
56', Barcos H. 🟥,
63', Aquino P. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
65', Quevedo K. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
80', Cantero A. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑,
80', Pena S. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
83', Escobar J. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
86', Enrique G. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
90+2', Lliuya M. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
90+2', Fuentes P. ↓, Ampuero A. ↑,
90+8', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
90+8', Ampuero A. 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1.
Alianza Universidad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Alianza Lima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Alianza Lima is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez A.
(Yellow Cards)
Gomez A.
(Red Card)
Gomez R.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
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Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 
Otavio Gut 
Vasquez Ortega E. O. 
Escobar J. 
Viscarra G. (G) 
Enrique G. 
Martinez D. 
Ceppelini P. 
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