Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heraclio Tapia (Huánuco)

Referee: Menendez A. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco		Cusco

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.48	3.45	2.62	Watch
	2.59	3.64	2.36	Watch
	2.44	3.49	2.69	Watch
	2.57	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.59)	3.54 ↓ (3.64)	2.57 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
37.3%

Draw
26.4%

Cusco
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

25.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

25.4%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cusco Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cusco will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cusco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 28. Perleche A. 66. Fuentes P. 33. Otavio Gut 14. Guevara B. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 88. Aubert E. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 29. Escobar J. 17. Mena Y. 8. Lliuya M.	28. Diaz P. (G) 8. Fuentes A. 19. Gamarra C. 6. Ampuero A. 24. Ruidias M. 16. Valenzuela O. 26. Silva N. (C) 14. Diez C. 10. Colman I. 22. Colitto L. 11. Tevez J.
Substitutes
3. Ampuero A. 22. Campodonico R. 6. Ibarguen J. 26. Iraola G. 9. Martinez D. 19. Mendieta J. 15. Ramirez N. 38. Sernaque J. 1. Ynamine P. (G)	32. Aquino J. 5. Aucca M. 9. Callejo F. 4. Custodio A. 7. Da Silva P. 18. Galvez S. 13. Vidal A. (G) 15. Zarabia S. 21. Zevallos J.
Coaches
Mosquera R.	Rondelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Tevez J. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Escobar J. ⚽, Mena Y. (A),
34', 2 - 1, Escobar J. ⚽, Guevara B. (A),
42', Lliuya M. 🟨,
43', Mendieta J. 🟨,
45+8', 2 - 2, Colman I. (Pen),
45+9', Guevara B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fuentes P. ↓, Ampuero A. ↑,
56', Fuentes A. 🟨,
61', Colitto L. 🟨,
64', Ruidias M. 🟨,
71', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
71', Colitto L. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
72', Silva N. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
79', Aubert E. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
79', Guevara B. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
79', Colman I. ↓, Callejo F. ↑,
83', Perleche A. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
84', Valenzuela O. 🟨,
90+1', Tevez J. ↓, Galvez S. ↑,
90+2', Ruidias M. ↓, Custodio A. ↑,
90+4', Diez C. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 2.

Alianza Universidad is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cusco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alianza Universidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Canela Torres J. J. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1
26.10.25	Cajamarca - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2 ✺
14.10.25	FBC Melgar - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	5:1 ✺
26.09.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Boys	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
25.10.25	Cusco - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Cienciano - Cusco	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Los Chankas - Cusco	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
29.06.25	Cusco - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	4:1
Peruvian Liga 2
18.09.22	Cusco - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1
19.06.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cusco	0:2
Peruvian Liga 1
01.08.21	Cusco - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:3
15.03.21	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cusco	1:0
23.09.20	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cusco	1:0
02.09.19	Cusco - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:1

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