Match Info

Liga Women - Round 11

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata (Barrancabermeja)


	Alianza Valledupar		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.96
	3.32	3.54	1.94
	3.32	3.62	1.96	Watch
	3.38	3.44	1.95
	3.2	3.6	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.53)	3.56 ↑ (3.29)	1.95 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
27.8%

Draw
25.6%

Atlético Bucaramanga
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.8%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Valledupar's form might have worsened.

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Bucaramanga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Alianza (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Patino N. (G) 8. Cabrales V. 10. Constante S. 11. Florez M. 24. Gallego M. 28. Jaimes F. 20. Mendivelso N. 30. Perez E. 3. Ramos T. 6. Sandoval A. 18. Vera H.	12. Quiroga S. (G) 9. Camacho J. 20. Franco K. 7. Garzon K. 8. Garzon S. 2. Laguado D. 26. Martinez M. 77. Parada J. 5. Pineda V. 19. Sarmiento S. 4. Velasquez L.
Substitutes
16. Bolano M. 12. Diaz D. 99. Garrido E. 5. Gomez L. 21. Granados K. 4. Osuna L. 2. Saldarriaga L.	21. Bedoya I. 22. Bello M. 11. Lopez A. 10. Lopez M. 6. Lopez M. 1. Montanez A. (G) 16. Pineda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Florez M. ↓, Osuna L. ↑,
45', Pineda V. 🟨,
45+3', Perez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Velasquez L. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
46', Perez E. ↓, Granados K. ↑,
58', Garzon S. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
58', Parada J. ↓, Pineda S. ↑,
62', Lopez M. 🟨,
65', Mendivelso N. 🟨,
66', Sandoval A. ↓, Garrido E. ↑,
74', Martinez M. ↓, Bello M. ↑,
74', Sarmiento S. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
83', Pineda S. 🟨,
86', Mendivelso N. ↓, Bolano M. ↑,
86', Ramos T. ↓, Saldarriaga L. ↑,
89', Vera H. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).

Alianza is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bucaramanga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar Women
Colombian Liga Women
03.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla	2:5 ✺
21.04.25	Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar	5:0 ✺
12.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas	1:3 ✺
28.03.25	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Atlético Bucaramanga Women
Colombian Liga Women
03.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Inter Palmira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLTL

Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide