Match Info

COLOMBIA: Liga Women - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata (Barrancabermeja)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	YouTube


	Alianza Valledupar		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.5	1.3
	9	4.75	1.28
	7.39	4.59	1.35
	7.39	4.6	1.35
	8.8	4.8	1.29
	7.6	4.3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.11 ↑ (6.5)	4.59 ↑ (4.3)	1.32 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
11.2%

Draw
19.8%

Atlético Nacional
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

22%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

21.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Nacional's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cardozo L. (G) 24. Caicedo A. 2. Carvajal M. 13. Viafara F. 4. Ruiz N. 10. Rivas L. 8. Moreno M. 21. Pavi V. 20. Melo M. 15. Ramirez M. 17. Olaya R.	12. Jaimes J. (G) 15. Cardenas W. 3. Baron A. 4. Lopez Y. 8. Cardona G. 7. Espinales J. 6. Montoya D. 14. Osorio K. 10. Rincon Y. 11. Cuesta Bejarano Y. 20. Restrepo M.
Substitutes
11. Goyes V. 25. Liscano A. 5. Martinez D. 12. Murillo G. (G) 18. Rodallegas C. 16. Sanchez S. 14. Urango M.	13. Aguirre L. 2. Alvarez Espitaleta M. J. 16. Cordoba S. 1. Cordoba V. (G) 30. Neira M. 9. Portillo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Osorio K. 🟨,
35', Lopez Y. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Melo M. ⚽, Pavi V. (A),
45+1', Moreno M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Osorio K. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
46', Melo M. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
46', Lopez Y. ↓, Alvarez Espitaleta M. J. ↑,
46', Ramirez M. ↓, Goyes V. ↑,
61', Cardenas W. ↓, Aguirre L. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Montoya D. ⚽, Cardona G. (A),
77', Pavi V. 🟨,
84', Restrepo M. ↓, Neira M. ↑,
86', Olaya R. ↓, Urango M. ↑,
86', Sanchez S. ↓, Rodallegas C. ↑,
88', Aguirre L. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Rodallegas C. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Atlético Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético Nacional is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar Women
Colombian Liga Women
19.06.24	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe	2:3 ✺
15.06.24	Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar	2:2 ✺
02.06.24	Alianza Valledupar - Real Santander	3:2 ✺
26.05.24	La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTWL
- Atlético Nacional Medellin Women
Colombian Liga Women
18.06.24	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
14.06.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
10.06.24	Atlético Nacional - Cúcuta Deportivo	6:0 ✺
07.06.24	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Atlético Nacional - Llaneros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
05.05.24	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional	0:2

Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide