Match Info

COLOMBIA: Liga Women - Round 15

Date: 10 June 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)


	Deportivo Pasto		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.11	3	3.44
	2.11	3	3.43
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.1	3.04	3.43
	2.1	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.59)	3.01 ↑ (2.99)	3.37 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
43.1%

Draw
30.1%

Alianza Valledupar
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

28.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pasto's performance.

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Valledupar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Pasto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Valledupar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez A. (G) 3. Navas S. 23. Angulo E. 13. Torrealba J. 17. Arcila V. 20. Orozco N. 6. Herrera M. 16. Gutierrez M. 7. Ibarguen S. 11. Cano A. 9. Celis N.	22. Cardozo L. (G) 4. Ruiz N. 2. Carvajal M. 24. Caicedo A. 5. Martinez D. 10. Rivas L. 8. Moreno M. 21. Pavi V. 13. Viafara F. 20. Melo M. 7. Urrutia K.
Substitutes
8. Alzate D. 12. Chuquen C. (G) 5. Meneses S. 24. Pinta P. 15. Quinones E. 21. Ramos S. 19. Sevillano H.	9. Angulo D. 11. Goyes V. 25. Liscano A. 12. Murillo G. (G) 17. Olaya R. 16. Sanchez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Cano A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Urrutia K. ⚽, Pavi V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pavi V. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
46', Melo M. ↓, Goyes V. ↑,
46', Carvajal M. ↓, Olaya R. ↑,
52', Olaya R. 🟨,
61', Navas S. ↓, Quinones E. ↑,
61', Orozco N. ↓, Sevillano H. ↑,
68', Quinones E. 🟨,
70', Arcila V. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Olaya R. (Pen),
72', Urrutia K. ↓, Angulo D. ↑,
77', Cano A. 🟨,
81', Martinez D. ↓, Liscano A. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Ibarguen S. (Pen),
90', Celis N. ↓, Pinta P. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Alianza is Qualified for Liga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alianza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto Women
Colombian Liga Women
06.06.24	Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto	2:0 ✺
29.05.24	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Deportivo Pasto - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLWW
- Alianza Valledupar Women
Colombian Liga Women
02.06.24	Alianza Valledupar - Real Santander	3:2 ✺
26.05.24	La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar	4:2 ✺
20.05.24	Alianza Valledupar - Inter Palmira	1:0 ✺
15.05.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLL

Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide