The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Valledupar 37.8%
Draw 29.6%
Rionegro Águilas 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
29.8%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
29.6%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
In recent outings, Alianza has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rionegro Águilas is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alianza has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:23 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 23:10 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Aguilas
11
3
5
3
14:15
-1
14
16
Alianza
12
3
2
7
12:24
-12
11
Last Results with these Odds
Alianza Valledupar - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.09%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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