Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday

Location: Islas Malvinas Stadium (Floresta)


	All Boys		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.88	4.2	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.7
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2.23	2.83	4.11
	2.2	2.75	3.5
	2.18	2.92	3.9
	2.05	2.85	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.37)	2.85 ↓ (2.9)	3.87 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

All Boys
43.3%

Draw
32.6%

Defensores Unidos
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

31.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

31.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

All Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for All Boys than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

All Boys - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. All Boys will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for All Boys: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitre L. (G) 4. Pardo F. 2. Butti F. 6. Ferrari J. (C) 3. Bovone T. 5. Munoz M. 7. Tomasetti G. 8. Salas J. 11. Morales A. 10. Ibanez J. 9. Toloza F.	1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Laumann F. (C) 6. Zadel D. 3. Suarez L. 8. Ortigoza M. 5. Nizzo M. 11. Garcia B. 10. Disanto L. 9. Toloza N. 7. Suarez J.
Substitutes
14. Acuna J. 19. Avaro E. 17. Calone T. 15. Ferrari L. 18. Gonzalez M. 20. Iacobellis M. 12. Lopez M. (G) 13. Luque M. 16. Melo A.	12. Aquino M. (G) 15. Desposito P. 14. Gauna I. 16. Gomez B. 19. Lonardi F. 13. Morales A. 17. Nunez D. 20. Osuna L. 18. Palazuelos B.
Coaches
Paparatto N.	Davio S.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches All Boys is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores Unidos is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

All Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

All Boys will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches All Boys won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams All Boys won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA All Boys
Copa Argentina
25.07.23	All Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.07.23	Guillermo Brown - All Boys	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	All Boys - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	Club Almagro - All Boys	0:0 ✺
03.07.23	All Boys - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWTW
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.07.23	Defensores Unidos - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
17.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Defensores Unidos	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.06.23	Godoy Cruz - Defensores Unidos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.03.23	Defensores Unidos - All Boys	3:1
Argentinian Primera B
16.02.19	Defensores Unidos - All Boys	1:3
08.09.18	All Boys - Defensores Unidos	1:0

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