Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 31

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: Islas Malvinas Stadium (Floresta)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)


	All Boys		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.8	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.9
	3.02	2.78	2.84
	3	2.62	2.6
	2.89	2.92	2.71	Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.52)	2.81 ↓ (2.92)	2.76 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

All Boys
32.6%

Draw
33.4%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

31.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

31.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

All Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for All Boys than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

All Boys - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. All Boys will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitre L. (G) 4. Luque M. 2. Butti F. 6. Ferrari J. 3. Bovone T. 8. Melo A. 5. Rodriguez S. 10. Ibanez J. 11. Morales A. 7. Tomasetti G. 9. Toloza F.	1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Olivarez S. 6. Caseres R. 3. Recalde M. 8. Lopez S. 5. Antonio I. 10. Castro R. 11. Rodriguez J. 7. Nouet M. 9. Herrera W. A.
Substitutes
19. Avaro E. 17. Calone T. 14. Ferrari L. 20. Gonzalez M. 16. Ladron M. 12. Lopez M. (G) 15. Munoz M. 13. Rodriguez A. 18. Zarate J.	15. Barboza O. 18. Esposito G. 13. Gutierrez A. 17. Herrera H. 12. Humeler K. (G) 20. Juncos J. 19. Marchiori T. 16. Menendez N. 14. Padilla M.
Coaches
Paparatto N.	Sastre J.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches All Boys won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

All Boys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches All Boys won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams All Boys won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA All Boys
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.08.23	Alvarado - All Boys	0:0 ✺
15.08.23	All Boys - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	San Martín de San Juan - All Boys	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	All Boys - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.07.23	All Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.08.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Almirante Brown	4:1 ✺
29.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:2 ✺
23.07.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Güemes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
17.05.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - All Boys	0:1 penalties
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.04.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - All Boys	0:0
13.03.22	All Boys - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1
30.09.19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - All Boys	0:0
29.08.15	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - All Boys	1:2
13.04.15	All Boys - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:0

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